Indemit Gill, Senior Vice President, World Bank Group, got a taste of the current feelings of Nigerians when his speech at a public function was punctuated with loud grumbling that nearly resulted to heckling for suggesting that Nigerians needed to endure another 15 years of their current suffering in the country.
A key speaker at this years, Nigerian Economic Summit, organized by the Nigerian Economic Summit Group (NESG), in Abuja, Gill, an Indian nationale, had to pause for several seconds as his suggestion elicited immediate negative reactions from the audience, made up of mostly chief executives of various bodies, to underscore that the parlous situation in the country, is widespread beyond just the poor.
The World Bank boss, had started by advising Nigerian government to do everything in its power to protect the most vulnerable citizens in the county against hardships because their lives and the lives of over 110 million children depended on it.
Painting a gloomy picture of Nigeria’s economy, he had praised the initiatives taken by the government of President Bola Tinubu to reform the economy, referring to the removal of subsidy on petroleum products and floating of the nation’s currency, two key policies the people see as the source of their present excruciating financial and social pains.
But while the audience listened with rapt attention, it was at the point he said: “Nigeria will need to stay the course for at least another 10 to 15 years to transform its economy” that the rumbling started, making him pause to survey his audience, before continuing.
Amid the persistent echoes of muffled voices of apparent discontent, he hurriedly concluded his speech, saying: “So I don’t know if you’re agreeing with me or if you’re disagreeing with me. If it does that, it will transform its economy into an enviable one.”
He added: “Now, during the coming year, Nigerian policy makers have to do three things. The first is to prioritise non-oil drilling. This requires a competitive exchange rate, which Nigeria now has. Nigeria’s real exchange rate is at its most competitive in at least 20 years.
“This is a great opportunity for the private sector. To protect the poor and maintain competitiveness, the Central bank must stay focused on inflation. It should resist the lure of short-term capital inflows that might push up the Naira’s value too quickly and crib non-oil growth.
“It should rebuild foreign exchange reserves instead, as a cushion against oil price volatility.
“Again, I think Governor Cadorso (Governor of Central Bank of Nigeria) is doing many of these things, and he should be encouraged. The second is that every vulnerable household cope with is high inflation. The government is rolling out a large-scale targeted temporary cash transfer programme that has already reached between four and five million households. It should quickly extend this to 10 million households and perhaps more if necessary.”
Explaining that the government should, over the next few years, also install a cost-effective safety net to protect its most vulnerable citizens, financing it with some of the savings from fuel subsidy and exchange rate distortions, posited: “It has to make the economy more business-ready. And I think that the Chairman of NESG actually put out a very clear agenda of what needs to be done there.
“In the next 10 years, more than 12 million young Nigerians, both men and women, will enter the workforce. Generating jobs for them will greatly be facilitated by the private sector. And, it will be facilitated by large-scale domestic and foreign private investment in the non-oil sector.
“Attracting such investment means boosting the national power grid, improving transportation, improving security, and improving the rules and regulations and the enforcement of private enterprise. So failure would set back reform efforts across the continent, besides ruining the future of yet another generation.
“Nigeria’s elites, we are all elites here in this room, must unite to support these reforms to enabling a broadly prosperous and stable Nigeria, they will be making perhaps the most valuable and the biggest request to their own children and grandchildren.”
Gill who was full of praises for the World Bank team in Nigeria, described them as one of the best leaders, adding: “You have here an excellent country director. You have a top-notch team of economists, of energy specialists, operations staff, they have the expertise that is needed.
“Most importantly though, especially in difficult times, they have the experience that the moment demands. Many of these experts that you have here in the Abuja office are people who are veterans of similar reforms in places like Indonesia and many other places.
“You should take full advantage of that. But the one thing that struck me about our team here, as I prepared for this as I prepared for this visit, the most important thing that I learned about them is that they have great affection and admiration for everyday Nigerians. The Nigerian government and the people can count on their support 24-7 and this team will get all the support they ask for from the entire World Bank group.”