The African Development Institute of Research Methodology (ADIRM), an applied research and technology development institute, has forecast a remarkable 85 percent voter participation rate in Saturday’s Anambra state governorship election.
During a Tuesday presentation in Abuja of pre-election polling data collected across the state’s 21 local government areas, ADIRM Director Dr Temitope Olufunmi Atoyebi characterized the upcoming election as among the most politically energized and participatory in Anambra’s electoral history.
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She characterized the poll as “a comprehensive, evidence-based assessment of voter perceptions and likely outcomes ahead of the forthcoming gubernatorial election.”
Atoyebi stated that ADIRM’s research reveals a politically aware electorate prepared to fulfill its civic responsibilities, noting that over 91 percent of survey participants confirmed voter registration status, while 85 percent declared definite voting intentions – suggesting “growing trust in democratic participation within Anambra State.”
“Demographically, the 26–35 age group — representing 29 percent of respondents — remains the most politically active, while 85 percent of voters possess at least secondary education, underscoring the state’s reputation for informed and analytical voting. Gender participation was nearly balanced, with males at 54 percent and females at 46 percent,” she said.
The findings also indicate a decisive victory for incumbent Governor Chukwuma Charles Soludo of the All Progressives Grand Alliance (APGA), with the sitting governor receiving an overwhelming 85.7 percent “Yes” votes from survey participants throughout all 21 Local Government Areas.
She said: “Our findings reveal a clear and decisive preference among voters for the incumbent Governor, Prof. Charles Chukwuma Soludo of the All Progressives Grand Alliance. Governor Soludo is projected to win all 21 LGAs with 85.7% of total votes cast, while candidates of the APC and Labour Party are expected to secure approximately 7.6% and 5.0% respectively.”
“The survey, conducted between October 1 and 31, 2025, involved a scientifically selected sample of 73,500 respondents — 3,500 from each local government — representing diverse demographic, educational, and occupational categories. With a margin of error of ±2%, the poll is among the most extensive pre-election studies ever conducted in the state.”
“Across the state, respondents highlighted road rehabilitation, urban renewal, youth empowerment, and education access as reasons for their preference, while 75 percent of participants rated the current administration’s performance as Excellent or Good.”
“The report further noted that APGA’s campaign machinery has been the most visible and consistent, with a mean visibility score of 4.6 out of 5, driven by grassroots mobilization, town-hall engagements, and community radio outreach. Door-to-door mobilization emerged as the single most effective campaign strategy (29%), outpacing social media and elite endorsements.”