Nasir el-Rufai, former governor of Kaduna, on Sunday, left an advice for President Bola Tinubu – meet with Goodluck Jonathan and share his 2015 experience because the same fate awaits you in 2027 when you will be shown the way out of the Presidential Villa.
A guest of Sunday Politics, a public affairs programme on Channels Television, the former governor told his host that the President would not even make a second position in the election, in an election where he is expected to square up with Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi, his opponents in the 2023 edition.
Despite beating the duo to emerge President, in a highly-disputed polls that was challenged all the way to the Supreme Court, El-Rufai, who hinged his position on the dismal outing he claimed trailed Tinubu’s tenure since the last two years, predicted the worst-case scenario in which there would be no outright winner in the coming election.
However in the runoff election which he envisaged could follow, he contended that Tinubu would not be on the ballot, because he would most naturally come a distant third, given how he had messed up Nigeria adding that the President would share the fate of Jonathan, who as President, was sent out of office by the late Muhammadu Buhari in 2015 under the All Progressives Congress (APC), currently still in power.
The former Minister of the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), who spoke against the backdrop of the defections of many political heavyweights in Nigeria into the APC, which the supporters attribute to Tinubu’s performance, dismissed the development as a non-event, given that Jonathan also enjoyed the same endorsements.
Arguing that despite such outings, the real votes rested with the people rather than political leaders, he said: “It’s not governors moving to a party that will make that party win elections. I was governor of Kaduna state. I was one of Bola Tinubu’s biggest campaigners, but I couldn’t deliver the state to him.
“Bola Tinubu himself couldn’t win his state with his own governor in place. So, these things are not as theoretical as people want them to be. If you want to engage in self-delusion, you are free to do so. I will not tell you how we are going to win, but I tell you very clearly — the worst-case scenario in the 2027 elections is that no winner will emerge in the first round.
“We may have to go for a runoff, and Bola Tinubu will not be on the ballot for the runoff, because he will, at best, be third in the election. He has no pathway to win. I have done the math. I have done the analysis. He cannot. He will, at best, be third.
“But he can deceive himself. He may think, oh, you know, I have money, because they have taken all the money in the country, I have INEC, I have the police, I have the army. You know what, President Tinubu, invite ex-President Goodluck Jonathan for a chat, and ask him if he didn’t have all these in 2015, and we got him out. Is the case still the same? Similar to 2015? It’s worse.
“It’s like those who say Tinubu has never lost an election. That can be contested, but it’s okay. He’s a political strategist, he’s this, he’s that. Wait. I Nasir El-Rufai, have said, if you want to learn some lessons, invite President Goodluck Jonathan for a chat over coffee, and ask him what happened in 2015. That’s all.”